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Uncertain election in Spain

Spain is arranging its parliamentary elections on Sunday December 20th 2015, and according to the investigations made, no party will win a majority.

Estimated distribution of mandates. Click to enlarge picture.

Estimated distribution of mandates. Click to enlarge picture.

Metroscopia has just published a survey that clearly shows that the “two party system” definitely is history. According to the survey the conservative Partido Popular  (PP), is the biggest party with 28.3%, which is a slight increase since the last survey.

The Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE), who lost government power during the elections in 2011, delines slightly ending at 21.2%. The Center-right party, Ciudadano, goes slightly up to 18.1%. The leftist party, Podemos, is rising one percentage to 17.6%.

The data collection for the survey that Metroscopia has published, happened between December 7th and 10th, so many things can obviously change before the election day. The temperature during election campaign is rising tonight during the only television debate between the main rivals, Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy (PP) and the leader of the Socialists Pedro Sanchez (PSOE). The program is called Cara a Cara (face to face) and will be sent at LA1 starting at 8:55 p.m.

At midnight on Friday the election campaign finishes. The Saturday before the elections in Spain is called the day of reflections(Jornada de Reflexion) and then as well as on election day, all dissemination of election propaganda is prohibited by law. From 5 days before the election, it is also forbidden to publish and distribute election surveys, thus we are publishing the study from Metroscopias today, while this is still allowed. For those interested, the entire survey is available here (in Spanish).

Developments since the last election in 2011.

Developments since the last election in 2011.