The spring will be warm and dry in almost all of Spain according to the latest meteorological forecasts. It looks very good for Malaga, Valencia Alicante and the Balearic Islands.
Meteorologist Mar Gómez at eltiempo.es says it will be warmer than normal and there will be less rainfall in almost all of Spain. Especially on the eastern and southern coasts, in central Spain and on the Balearic Islands.
Mar Gómez says that when the metrological spring officially begins on March 20th, the temperature will be between one and two degrees higher than normal. Valencia, Murcia, Almeria and Alicante can also expect even drier weather than normal. They already have a deficit of water and this will not get better during the spring. As usual most of the precipitation will fall in the north, in Galicia and Cantabria.
Fausto Polvorinos and Pablo Aguayo, meteorologists at Centro de AEMET in Málaga, have developed a statistics report for Easter this year. And it shows very clearly that the probability of good weather at Easter is quite satisfactory. The study builds on what has happened over the last 73 years between March 20th and March 27th. During 50 of those years there has just been one day with heavy rain. During 23 of these years there has not been a drop of rain and during seven years there was insignificant rainfall.
If one looks a little closer at the rain that has actually occurred during these 50 years, it has mostly been brief downpours. 43% lasted less than one hour, 59% less than 2 hours and 71% less than 3 hours. Anecdotally it can be noted that the longest lasting rainfall during this period was in March 20th 1984 when it rained for 14 hours and 45 minutes.
Meteorologist Mar Gómez also mentions how the weather is predicted to be in the rest of Europe, and it seems to get wet in parts of Europe. Not particularly cold, but more normal temperatures.